US/China de-coupling with broader implications.Our US Onshore vs Offshore pair GSPUSHOR is up +38% since Sept 2021 with a remarkable Sharpe ratio, which illustrate the persistence of this trend. (Goldman Sachs)...
28 Sep, 2023 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
In our humble view, a recession will guarantee a Trump presidency. Do the twelve members of the FOMC want that outcome on their conscience? We don’t think so. As such, investors should prepare to have a Fed that is behind the curve going forward....
31 Aug, 2023 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
As per IMF's April forecasts, among world's largest advanced economies (except for UK), growth in 2023 and 2024 could be sluggish. China and India lead developing economies while rest of BRICS lag....
20 May, 2023 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
Consistent and Fast paced economic growth for India vs. other Developed and Emerging Economies....
17 Apr, 2023 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
On 08 March, the 1 year government T-Bill auction yielded 7.46%. This is the second highest rate since 2015. The last “high” in 2018
was 7.73%...
15 Mar, 2023 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
Correlation between liquidity i.e., dollar strength and asset class beneficiary recipient of this liquidity...
24 Feb, 2023 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
S&P 500 forward PE ratios at~17.4x down from 2020/21 bubble highs just in line with historical average....
09 Feb, 2023 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
Global container freight rates moved down to their lowest levels since Sept’2020 this week, 81% below peak 2021 prices. The rise earlier was driven...
21 Dec, 2022 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
Entire point of globalization is to 1) lower costs as a means of maximizing profits and 2) find markets for surplus domestic production. Both serve to export deflation as offshoring production keeps prices stable. Securing production from the threats of geopolitical blackmail, civil/economic disorder in the producing nations or broken supply chains requires moving essential supply chains back to the security of the domestic economy....
18 Aug, 2022 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
Energy as a sector usually gets low ESG scores or is left out of ESG funds entirely; however, energy touches almost every part of our lives, and fossil fuels make up the majority of the world’s energy usage...
26 Jul, 2022 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
Last spike of Junk/High yield bonds over G-Sec was seen in Jan’08/Aug’11/Oct’15; which was a phase of rampant price damage in equities globally...
07 Jul, 2022 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
Demand for copper presently is ~24 mn tones per year out of which non green demand (wiring) works to ~22.5mn tones & green demand (wind & solar) is about 1.5 mn tones. By the end of this decade, green demand for EV, charging infrastructure is expected to go upto 6-7mn tones moving from 5% of global demand to 20%....
06 Jun, 2022 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
While most uptrends have come under pressure in 2022, the US dollar has remained as strong. As we write, it on its path for its largest single-day gain since the pandemic crash more than two years ago....
09 May, 2022 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
Although equities in general have performed quite poorly in high and rising inflation environments, there are potential areas that have historically performed better at the sector level.High growth stocks tends to underperform in a US rate...
20 Apr, 2022 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
Despite being the best performer among recent industrializers until the 1970s, Brazil experienced severe macroeconomic crises in the 1980s and 1990s which culminated into stagnation, inflation & crises for commodity resource rich country....
02 Mar, 2022 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
The last decade and a half (2009-2022) has seen the CPI inflation rate average just 2%, despite broad money supply growth averaging 6.5%. Although broad money supply growth provided the liquidity adequate to spur inflation and thereby bond yields, China provided the deflationary impulse in goods prices, which channeled the money into financial asset inflation and pushed up the prices of real estate, bonds and equities leading to a low yield environment....
25 Feb, 2022 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
A country with < 20% of world's population has managed to stockpile > half of globe's maize & other grains, leading to steep price increases. Data from U.S. Department of Agriculture shows China has ~69% of globe's maize reserves in the first half of the crop year 2022, 60% of its rice and 51% of its wheat....
20 Jan, 2022 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
~67% of US households have at least 1 pet, marking the highest level of pet ownership on record. In fact, pets have become staple in many U.S. households to the point that 1 in 10 pet owners are actually delaying having children to focus on their pets....
11 Dec, 2021 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
New asset class that has born out of regulation – Carbon credits is witnessing surging fund flows in an ESG dominated volatile situation this year. ...
29 Nov, 2021 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
Extreme weather, plant shutdowns, new government sanctions has hit the chemical fertilizer market, slamming farmers already crumpled under the strain of rising production costs. ...
13 Nov, 2021 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
China quietly working on its own CBDCs (e-version of yuan) since 2014, could challenge the undisputed global reserve currency status for USD. This year, the PBOC launched a test of it’s CBDC in more than 30 major cities to iron out any bugs....
24 Oct, 2021 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
Globalization which gained wings in 1988-2016 post wall era, is facing reversal challenges with inflation, pandemic related lockdown & interventionist ideologies of governments. ...
08 Oct, 2021 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
Japan’s Nikkei hits 30,000 for first time in 30 years. On Valuation front four tech firms — Apple, Alphabet, Amazon and Facebook are now worth more than all 2,187 companies that make up the Topix stock market in Tokyo...
25 Sep, 2021 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
As most countries slipped into deep recession in 2020, one of the few countries to record positive GDP (2.9%) in pandemic, Vietnam is now in the midst of worst covid outbreak with a swathe of factories either shut down or have slowed further disrupting the existing global supply chains...
09 Sep, 2021 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
Across Germany, auto manufacturers have advanced their complete EV adoption deadline to 2025/2030, despite spending a fortune on the existing internal combustion system. Japan automaker joining a growing chorus of major automakers in the US & Europe that are significantly accelerating...
20 Aug, 2021 |
Eastern Fin Research Team 5 Mins Read
Read More
Get the best investment ideas straight in your inbox!
Login
